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Ether Price Poised for Breakout as ETF Inflows Hit 7-Week Streak

Time :2025-07-03 02:25:15   key word: Ethereum, ETF inflows, price analysis, range breakout, institutional demand

Institutional Accumulation Signals Potential ETH Rally

Ether (ETH) has maintained a tight trading range between $2,323 and $2,500 despite 【106,000 ETH】 flowing into spot ETFs over the past week - marking the seventh consecutive week of positive institutional inflows. This accumulation pattern mirrors the pre-breakout behavior observed before Bitcoin's historic rallies following its ETF approval.

The Bull-Bear Standoff

Glassnode data reveals growing institutional interest while Etherscan shows conflicting signals. Two unidentified wallets recently unstaked and moved 【95,920 ETH】, with 【62,289 ETH】 subsequently deposited to exchanges. This creates what analysts call a "liquidity tug-of-war" between long-term holders and profit-takers.

——The real test comes at $2,500 resistance—— notes senior analyst Rakesh Upadhyay. "ETF flows suggest institutions are building positions, but we need confirmation through price action."

Technical Setup Points to Imminent Volatility

The daily chart shows ETH consolidating between key levels: • Support: $2,323 (horizontal) and $2,111 (psychological) • Resistance: 50-day SMA ($2,528) and $2,879 (June high)

Market structure resembles a coiled spring with the RSI at neutral 50. A decisive break above $2,528 could trigger moves toward $2,738 initially, while losing $2,323 may test the $2,111 support zone.

4-Hour Chart Reveals Contraction

Short-term traders are watching the $2,376-$2,521 range on 4-hour frames. The compressed volatility - with 【30-day realized volatility】 hitting 6-month lows - typically precedes significant directional moves.

Notably, the last three instances of such tight consolidation resulted in 【14%】 average moves within 48 hours, according to CryptoQuant data.

Macro Factors at Play

The market awaits two catalysts: 1. Potential SEC approval of ETH ETF options trading 2. Upcoming Ethereum network upgrades (Pectra expected Q1 2025)

——Institutional flows often front-run major announcements—— suggests a CoinShares report, noting similar patterns before Bitcoin's 2020 halving event. The current 【7-week inflow streak】 represents the longest sustained accumulation since March.

*Disclaimer: Market analysis provided for informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk.*