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Bitcoin Plans Quantum Defense Upgrade by 2030 to Counter Emerging Threats

Time :2025-07-17 05:03:59   key word: Bitcoin, quantum computing, cryptography upgrade, blockchain security, BIP propo

Bitcoin Core Developers Propose Cryptographic Overhaul

A group of leading cryptographers and blockchain engineers has submitted a formal proposal to future-proof Bitcoin against quantum computing threats. The BIP draft outlines a multi-phase transition from current ECDSA signatures to quantum-resistant algorithms, targeting full implementation by 2030.

The Quantum Countdown Begins

Recent advancements in quantum processing have accelerated timelines, with McKinsey projections suggesting functional quantum systems capable of breaking existing cryptography may emerge between 2027-2030. The proposal highlights that approximately 25% of Bitcoin's unspent transaction outputs currently expose vulnerable public keys on the blockchain.

——This isn't theoretical risk management—it's digital asset preservation on an unprecedented scale—— emphasized Christian Papathanasiou, one of the proposal's co-authors.

Three-Stage Migration Plan

The blueprint details a cautious transition:

1. Immediate deprecation of legacy address formats (2025-2026)
2. Hard fork to disable vulnerable UTXOs (2030-2031)
3. Optional recovery mechanism using seed phrases (post-2031)

【Critical Data】Current estimates suggest 4.5 million BTC (worth approximately $270 billion at current prices) reside in potentially vulnerable addresses.

Industry Experts Sound Alarm

Naoris Protocol CEO David Carvalho recently warned that quantum breakthroughs like Microsoft's Majorana chip could render Bitcoin's security model obsolete within five years. The community faces a paradoxical challenge—implementing changes significant enough to address quantum threats while maintaining Bitcoin's core decentralization principles.

Interestingly, the proposal avoids specifying particular post-quantum algorithms, leaving room for future cryptographic developments. This flexibility acknowledges the rapidly evolving nature of quantum-resistant research.

Balancing Urgency With Consensus

The document emphasizes the diminishing window for coordinated action, noting that delayed migration exponentially increases systemic risk. However, it maintains Bitcoin's traditional gradualist approach—prioritizing network stability while addressing existential threats.

As of press time, the proposal has sparked vigorous debate across developer forums, with implementation timelines and technical specifics being the primary points of contention. The coming months will reveal whether the Bitcoin community can achieve the necessary consensus for this critical security upgrade.