Bitcoin faces potential short-term volatility as market indicators suggest a possible retest of the $100,000 psychological threshold. Current trading patterns reveal restrained profit-taking activity compared to previous cycle peaks, with critical support forming between $96,000 and $104,000. The $96,000 level represents the short-term holder realized price — a historically strong support zone during bullish phases.
The recent $3.7 billion reduction in Bitcoin futures open interest has effectively reset overheated market conditions. This liquidation event removed excessive leverage from the system, decreasing the likelihood of cascading sell-offs. Market analysts view this development positively, noting that similar resets have typically preceded sustainable upward movements in previous cycles.
Multiple chart patterns suggest limited downside potential: ——The daily Kijun line at $102,700 previously acted as reliable support ——Ichimoku cloud analysis shows bullish conversion lines intact ——Glassnode data reveals accumulation behavior near current levels
Trading volume patterns show【$104,500】as a crucial pivot point, with liquidity clusters forming above $102,000. This creates a potential springboard for retesting the $107,000 resistance within the coming week.
CryptoQuant's Net Realized Profit/Loss metric demonstrates significantly lower profit-taking intensity than during March and November 2024's market tops. This divergence suggests the current correction represents healthy consolidation rather than trend reversal. The $96,000-$104,000 range now serves as a value zone for both institutional and retail investors.
Notable analysts highlight the market's underlying strength: ——Altcoin Sherpa identifies $102,000-$104,500 as optimal re-entry zone ——Titan of Crypto notes converging indicators at key support ——Derivatives data shows put/call ratios normalizing after recent volatility
As the futures market resets and spot demand persists, the stage appears set for Bitcoin's next upward leg. Market participants now watch whether the $100,000 support can trigger the next wave of buying pressure.