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Whale's $23.7M Bitcoin Bet Targets $200K Amid Market Volatility

Time :2025-07-26 05:56:25   key word: Bitcoin, whale trading, BTC price, market analysis, cryptocurrency

Massive Derivative Position Signals Bullish Conviction

An unidentified institutional trader has placed a 【$23.7 million】 options bet anticipating Bitcoin reaching 【$200,000】 by December 2025, according to Deribit exchange data. The complex derivatives position combines long calls at $140,000 with short calls at $200,000, creating a risk-defined bullish spread that capitalizes on volatility differences between strike prices.

Liquidity Shakeout at $115K Support

BTC's 12% overnight drop to $114,960 triggered 【$130 million】 in long liquidations across derivatives platforms. Market depth analysis shows concentrated bid liquidity rebuilding near the $113,500 level, with CoinGlass heatmaps revealing potential support zones. ——This represents healthy market flushing rather than trend reversal—— notes Swissblock analysts, pointing to Bitcoin's risk index remaining at neutral levels.

Technical Outlook Remains Constructive

TradingView charts display critical support at $115,000 holding despite volatility. "A daily close below $113,500 would concern short-term traders," cautions Daan Crypto Trades, while emphasizing the overall uptrend remains intact. On-chain metrics show whale accumulation continuing, with the recent Satoshi-era wallet movement now confirmed as an institutional custody transfer rather than sell pressure.

Institutional Strategies Evolve

The whale's options strategy reflects sophisticated institutional approaches now dominating BTC markets: • Calendar spreads funding Q4 positions with near-term premium • Volatility arbitrage between different expiration periods • Capital efficiency through defined-risk structures

Deribit data reveals open interest concentration growing at $150,000 strikes, suggesting professional traders expect upside continuation after current consolidation. Market makers report balanced gamma exposure despite the price drop, indicating orderly market functioning.

Macro Context Supports Crypto Assets

The positioning comes as: • Global liquidity conditions improve • Bitcoin ETF inflows resume • Regulatory clarity increases in major markets

Analysts highlight Bitcoin's 【45-day】 consolidation above previous all-time highs as technically bullish, with historical patterns suggesting eventual breakout acceleration. The $200,000 target would represent a 【72%】 gain from current levels, matching typical post-halving cycle projections.